Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.024379 0.026314 0.028332 0.030595 0.033064 0.035678 0.038657
2025-11-30 0.021027 0.023778 0.026799 0.030372 0.034491 0.039101 0.044670
2025-12-07 0.018835 0.022042 0.025703 0.030208 0.035623 0.041949 0.049938
2025-12-14 0.017161 0.020643 0.024743 0.029952 0.036431 0.044272 0.054549
2025-12-21 0.015989 0.019691 0.024167 0.030017 0.037512 0.046867 0.059540
2025-12-28 0.014909 0.018741 0.023484 0.029836 0.038192 0.048912 0.063870
2026-01-04 0.014045 0.017986 0.022968 0.029790 0.038983 0.051080 0.068429
2026-01-11 0.013359 0.017403 0.022615 0.029901 0.039945 0.053480 0.073400
2026-01-18 0.012725 0.016839 0.022239 0.029935 0.040769 0.055697 0.078208
2026-01-25 0.012218 0.016411 0.022008 0.030133 0.041802 0.058228 0.083589
2026-02-01 0.011583 0.015768 0.021441 0.029814 0.042059 0.059637 0.087370
2026-02-08 0.010954 0.015098 0.020795 0.029335 0.042040 0.060614 0.090520
2026-02-15 0.010461 0.014614 0.020414 0.029255 0.042657 0.062649 0.095573
2026-02-22 0.009953 0.014086 0.019943 0.029019 0.043027 0.064339 0.100219
2026-03-01 0.009509 0.013625 0.019544 0.028859 0.043493 0.066185 0.105223
2026-03-08 0.009077 0.013159 0.019109 0.028615 0.043799 0.067779 0.109893
2026-03-15 0.008759 0.012846 0.018885 0.028677 0.044581 0.070164 0.116043
2026-03-22 0.008404 0.012460 0.018528 0.028505 0.044965 0.071904 0.121179
2026-03-29 0.008106 0.012145 0.018263 0.028461 0.045548 0.073994 0.127058
2026-04-05 0.007862 0.011903 0.018099 0.028567 0.046379 0.076540 0.133924
2026-04-12 0.007617 0.011647 0.017899 0.028599 0.047078 0.078888 0.140575
2026-04-19 0.007420 0.011459 0.017798 0.028787 0.048048 0.081759 0.148405
2026-04-26 0.007132 0.011111 0.017419 0.028484 0.048134 0.083040 0.153257